The Lazy

The ‘Lazy’ is probably the closest thing we’ve got to a ‘set and go’ strategy for trading strong favourites. It involves backing certain scores in the Correct Score market and then laying an odds on favourite in the Match Odds market.

Returns are relatively low, but in return, it is usually a trade requiring very little tweaking in play.

Selection criteria:

The only selection criterion is an odds on favourite, so much the better if that is also the home side. The more heavily odds on they are the better as well!

This strategy can also be employed in-play when the favourite has taken the lead by 1 goal or more. It is safer to to use in the 2nd half as you will need less scorelines to cover in the CS market

Method:

Assuming favourites are the home team, dutch back 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 and 3-1 in Correct Score. Then lay the favourites in Match Odds for your total stake. Easy! If the match finishes with one of those scorelines you make a small green, if the underdog wins or the game is drawn it is a scratch trade.

DANGERS

The only dangers to this trade are the 3-2 and Any Unquoted scorelines – so you might need to cover these in play by either backing them or by laying u3.5 or u4.5 goals.

The Lion Lazy:

A variation of the Lazy Lamb for those whose risk / reward threshold allows a slightly riskier trade. A favourite trading at 1.6 or less should really be expected to a) win the game and b) score at least two goals. That is a bold statement, but is the premise for this variation.

Selection criteria:

As above, but ideally favourite 1.6 or lower.

METHOD:

Again assuming home team are favourites back 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 and 3-1 in Correct Score. This can either be dutched, or you might decide to weight it n favour of 3-0 or 3-1 if you are confident about goals coming. Lay favourites in Match Odds for half the Correct Score stake (optional – alternative for an even riskier trade is to lay favourites at 1-0!)

DANGERS

1-0 is now added to the problem scores list, but you are also still exposed to 3-2 and AU, and to the dog scoring first. The latter is a bigger problem, of course, if you have elected not to lay the favourite for 50% of CS stakes.

Another proven strategy from the boys over at In Play Trading

IPT

1 Comment on The Lazy

  1. I have found that when doing the Lazy lamb, I can usually add 3-2 to the dutched scores with a small impact on overall profit, leaving just AUQ for the dog the only danger. If still 0-0 at HT, I will usually look at laying U3.5 to protect against a possible 2nd-half scorefest for the Dog.

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